Throughout the current epidemic there has been considerable focus on, and some controversy around, the use of R as a headline summary of the state of the epidemic. We are holding an online Special Topic Meeting to discuss statistical issues around this general topic. In the tradition of RSS Discussion Meetings, the programme will consist of oral presentations based on written papers that will be made available beforehand, followed by open discussion contributions and responses from the authors, all of which will then be published as a permanent record.
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15.00. Kris V. Parag, Robin N. Thompson, Christl A. Donnelly
Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
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15.15. Nicholas Jewell and Joe Lewnard
On the use of the reproduction number for SARS-CoV-2: Estimation, misinterpretations, and relationships with other ecological measures
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15.30. Luc E. Coffeng, Sake J. de Vlas
Predicting epidemics and the impact of interventions in heterogeneous settings: standard SEIR models are too pessimistic
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15.45 Invited discussants: Justin Lessler, Phil O’Neil, John Kingman
16.15
Open discussion