Throughout the current epidemic there has been considerable focus on, and some controversy around, the use of R as a headline summary of the state of the epidemic. We are holding an online Special Topic Meeting to discuss statistical issues around this general topic. In the tradition of RSS Discussion Meetings, the programme will consist of oral presentations based on written papers that will be made available beforehand, followed by open discussion contributions and responses from the authors, all of which will then be published as a permanent record.
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11.00. Yee Whye Teh, Avishkar Bhoopchand, Peter Diggle, Bryn Elesedy, Bobby He,
Michael Hutchinson, Ulrich Paquet, Jonathan Read, Nenad Tomasev, Sheheryar Zaidi
Efficient Bayesian Inference of Instantaneous Reproduction Numbers at Fine Spatial Scales, with an Application to Mapping and Nowcasting the Covid-19 Epidemic in British Local Authorities
Download paper (PDF)
11.15.
Swapnil Mishra, Jamie Scott, Daniel J. Laydon, Harrison Zhu, Neil M. Ferguson, Samir Bhatt, Seth Flaxman, Axel Gandy
A COVID-19 Model for Local Authorities of the United Kingdom
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11.30.
Invited discussants: Gavin Gibson, Guy Nason
11.50.
Open discussion